• Strategic Survey

    Chapter 9: North Africa

    09 September 2014. 

    Egypt’s Revolution Stalls
    Maghreb: Legacy of the Arab Spring

  • Strategic Comments

    Libya: Muslim Brotherhood’s tenuous hold

    05 June 2014. 

    Facing a militia oil blockade and a dissident-led offensive intended to purge the country of 'terrorists', Libya's Muslim Brotherhood-led Congress has pledged to hold elections. But Brotherhood members fear that they will lose at the ballot box and see their opponents launch a purge against them similar to that of Egypt. Without elections, Libya seems set for prolonged conflict.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Benjamin Fishman: Can Rome help save Libya?

    05 March 2014.  How do you help a country that requires technical assistance in a wide range of areas but doesn’t have a functional government that can absorb aid programs? That will be the challenge for participants in the International Conference on Libya scheduled to take place on 6 March in Rome. Assuming the crisis in Ukraine does not intervene, foreign ministers from the key states who supported Libya’s liberation along with international organisations...

  • The Military Balance

    Chapter 7: Middle East and North Africa

    05 February 2014. 

    Syria: Implications for regional armed forces; Regime regroups; Rebel forces
    Egypt: the military resumes power
    Iran: Missile developments
    GCC: Cooperative defence and Iran
    Regional defence economics; Major arms-trade developments in 2012 and 2013; Military commercial activities
    Algeria: Recent initiatives; Regional and border defence; Counter-terrorism and international cooperation; Defence economics

  • Events

    Libya: The Failed Fairy Tale

    04 February 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Florence Gaub
    Senior Analyst, EU Institute for Security Studies
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 04 February

  • Survival

    A Libyan Recipe for Disaster

    01 February 2014. 

    Libya’s current woes were not pre-ordained, but its politics are caught in a vicious circle. Those who created the crisis are the only ones who can resolve it.

  • IISS Voices

    Steven Simon: 'America and al-Qaeda 3.0'

    30 January 2014.  Steve Simon: ‘America and al-Qaeda 3.0’ ‘My view of the Arab Spring was that it was, in a perverse sense, God’s gift to al-Qaeda, because it created exactly the sorts of circumstances, the sorts of conditions, in which al-Qaeda thrives,’ said Steven Simon in an extended interview for Al-Jazeera’s Empire programme on 29 January. ‘Those conditions arose in North Africa really concomitant with the Arab Spring revolutions, and they were hastened. They were...

  • Events

    Discussion Meeting: Toppling Qaddafi: Libya and the Limits of Liberal Intervention

    10 January 2014. 

    IISS-US Discussion meeting
    Dr Christopher Chivvis, Senior Political Scientist, RAND Corporation
    Discussant: Julianne Smith, Former Deputy National Security Advisor to the Vice President
    Moderator: Ben Fishman, Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East and North Africa, IISS
    Friday 10 January 2014
    IISS-US, Washington DC

  • Manama Voices

    Elly Jupp: The economic costs of the Arab Spring

    04 December 2013.  By Elly Jupp, Research Associate, IISS–Middle East Much has been written about the economic causes of the Arab Spring revolts – but rather less has been written about the economic costs. In a recent report, HSBC sought to put a figure on the losses of seven of the worst-affected states – Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon and Bahrain – and estimated US$800 billion in lost output. HSBC forecast that GDP...

  • Survival

    Germany and the Intervention in Libya

    29 November 2013. 

    Germany’s abstention on UNSCR 1973 does not signify a weakened commitment to multilateralism or NATO, nor was it a historical fluke. It is simply that, on matters involving military force, Germans need time to have a debate at home.

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