• Politics and Strategy

    Massimo Franco: A Latin American Pope Arrives

    21 September 2015.  For months, Pope Francis has been telling his closest advisers that he wants to arrive in the United States via the south of the American continent. Now he is following through on that symbolic geography. The Pope’s 22–27 September visit to the United States matters in both strategic and domestic terms. Touching US soil after a three-day stop in Cuba is already a remarkable novelty. It is as if Pope...

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 2: Drivers of Strategic Change

    15 September 2015. 

    North America; Latin America; Europe; Russia and Eurasia; Middle East and North Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa; South Asia and Afghanistan; Asia-Pacific

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 5: Latin America

    15 September 2015. 

    Brazil: Troubled Regional Power
    Cuba: Dawn of a New Age?
    Argentina: End of the Kirchner Era

  • Expert Commentary

    France 24: Colombian community takes on drug gangs

    30 July 2015.  Interview with Antonio Sampaio, Research Associate for Security and Development  Buenaventura is Colombia's main port on the Pacific coast and local authorities and investors are eager to transform it into a touristic destination, but the town has fallen prey to brutal drug-related gang violence over recent years. Armed gangs use torture, blackmail and extortion to control the disadvantaged  Pacific coastline communities in the region, as they are ideal locations for...

  • Survival

    The Economics of Multipolarity

    22 July 2015.  Deepak Nayyar’s Catch Up describes the role of 14 developing economies in transforming the structure of world economic output. If the trends of the past half-century persist, the twenty-first-century distribution of power will be multipolar.

  • IISS Voices

    Tilly Grove: The changing face of war

    22 July 2015.  More people are dying and being driven from their homes as local grievances and global jihad merge, and as crime and cyber hacking become forms of warfare

  • Events

    Urban Warfare in the ‘Marvelous City’: Securing Rio from the Gangs

    09 July 2015. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Antônio Sampaio 
    Research Associate for Security and Development, IISS
    Christoph Harig 
    Doctoral Researcher, Brazil Institute, King’s College London
    Arundel House, London
    Thursday 9 July 2015

  • Expert Commentary

    World Economic Forum Agenda: This is how megacities are being held back by violence

    01 July 2015.  By Antonio Sampaio, Research Associate for Security and Development World authorities, mayors and experts are preparing to debate the New Urban Agenda – a discussion that will reach its peak next year at a major UN conference. These leaders carry on their shoulders the hopes and dreams of millions of people living in unsafe and sprawling cities. It has never been more urgent for the international community to tackle rising challenges in the...

  • Events

    Organised Crime, Militias and the Crisis in Venezuela

    23 June 2015. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Daniel Lansberg-Rodríguez
    Director for Latin America, Greenmantle LLC;
    Columnist, El Nacional newspaper (Venezuela)
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 23 June 2015

  • IISS Voices

    Antonio Sampaio: Hyper-violent criminality and its strategic effects in Latin America

    22 May 2015.  The territorial and military power acquired by criminal groups in the northern triangle of Central America and Mexico is characterised by the use of 'hyper-violent' tactics. The current levels of violence paint a complex picture of criminal networks and gang warfare, both of which have profoundly destabilising effects on developing countries. 

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