• Politics and Strategy

    William Choong: Trump’s Asia Policy - Riven with Contradictions

    17 November 2016.  For years after the end of the Cold War, the United States was the hegemon in the Asia-Pacific, but the election of Donald Trump last week has led the region into uncharted territory.

  • Strategic Comments

    North Korea: US and allied military options

    02 November 2016. 

    North Korean nuclear bomb and ballistic missile tests may require the United States and its regional allies to take a harder look at military options against North Korea. Pre-emptive or preventive attack is fraught with downsides. But uncertainties surrounding deterrence and worries about potential North Korean brinkmanship could keep that option salient.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Philippines: Duterte’s wilful start

    19 October 2016. 

    A hundred days into his single six-year term, President Rodrigo Duterte has already asserted his powerful political position by undertaking a brutal campaign on drugs, weakening the Philippines' longstanding alliance with the United States and warming to China. These pronounced shifts in policy, however, have drawn considerable criticism from influential figures and groups inside as well as outside the Philippines. Duterte may find it difficult to maintain such controversial policies throughout his presidency.

  • Strategic Comments

    North Korea’s fifth nuclear test

    05 October 2016. 

    North Korea conducted its fifth and most powerful nuclear test on 9 September, and is moving towards mounting a nuclear bomb on ballistic missiles of increasing range. The Obama administration's policy of strategic patience may now be insufficient. Pyongyang is unlikely to restrain its nuclear bomb and ballistic missile development in the absence of greater US and Chinese assertiveness and more creative strategies.

  • Expert Commentary

    South China Morning Post: Boiling point

    25 August 2016.  By William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security Faced with a crushing defeat in the South China Sea arising from the historic Permanent Court of Arbitration judgment last month, China has upped the ante in the East China Sea. On Sunday, Tokyo protested to Beijing after Chinese coastguard ships sailed into the 12-nautical-mile territorial sea surrounding the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands. Earlier this month, on August 5, Chinese fishing vessels entered the...

  • Events

    IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2016 Retrospective: Nuclear Developments in North Korea

    20 July 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Seok-soo Lee, Director-General, Research Institute for National Security Affairs, Korea National Defense University
    Kongdan (Katy) Oh, Senior Asia Specialist, Institute for Defense Analyses
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Wednesday 20 July 2016, 10–11.00AM EDT

  • IISS Voices

    Sarah Raine: Tribunal ruling offers opportunity for negotiation, not confrontation over the South China Sea

    18 July 2016.  The recent judgment of an arbitral tribunal will have implications well beyond the South China Sea. While definitive solutions to competing territorial claims are likely to remain elusive, Sarah Raine suggests that the ruling nonetheless represents an opportunity for renewed discussion.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Opposing nuclear proliferation, even among allies

    07 June 2016.  While working on my recently published book on Asia’s Latent Nuclear Powers, I never imagined that a US presidential candidate would argue with its central thesis about the inadvisability of America’s partners in the region pursuing nuclear weapons. For Japan, South Korea or Taiwan to go down that path would trigger huge economic losses, yawning security vulnerabilities and a steep fall from grace in the eyes of the world. Fortunately...

  • Shangri-La Dialogue

    Managing Military Competition in Asia

    04 June 2016. 

    IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2016 Second Plenary Session

  • Shangri-La Dialogue

    Managing Military Competition in Asia: Q&A

    04 June 2016. 

    IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2016 Second Plenary Session
    Question & Answer Session
    Manohar Parrikar, Minister of Defence, India   
    Gen Nakatani, Minister of Defense, Japan 
    Dato’ Seri Hishammuddin Tun Hussein, Minister of Defence, Malaysia 

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