• Events

    The Day After the Deadline: Assessing the Nuclear Negotiations with Iran

    22 July 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Mark Fitzpatrick,
    Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament programme, IISS
    Dina Esfandiary,
    Research Associate, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament programme, IISS
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 22 July 2014, 12:30-1:30pm

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Continue the Iran talks, but lock in a deal on Arak

    16 July 2014.  In a friendly Twitter debate this week, I was asked why I advocated rejecting an imperfect Iranian offer for a nuclear deal when the alternative – a return to escalation and probable conflict – is so dire. My answer was that there is a third option: to continue negotiations beyond the 20 July deadline. Indeed, that is the path that both Iran and the US now seem set on taking...

  • IISS Voices

    Dina Esfandiary: Iran and the question of ICBMs

    14 July 2014.  By Dina Esfandiary, Research Associate, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme A US Pentagon report from January 2014 (but only released in early July) seems to have revised earlier US intelligence assessments that Iran could test an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) by 2015. Indeed, although Iran has an advanced missile programme, the state of its current industrial base, research and development, and decades of being under sanctions led the IISS to assess in...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Joseph Dempsey: Iraqi's latest Su-25s come from Iran

    02 July 2014.  By Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Military Balance Online Following on from an initial delivery of Su-25 Frogfoot ground attack aircraft from Russia, the Iraqi Ministry of Defence announced a further delivery had been received on 1 July 2014. Although the source of this latest delivery of Su-25s has not been officially commented upon, it is the conclusion of IISS analysts that these latest examples originate from neighbouring Iran. Iran has recently pledged...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Russia’s solidarity with the West in the Iran nuclear talks

    26 June 2014.  Amid ongoing tensions over Ukraine, it is worth noting that Russia continues to cooperate closely with the West over Iran. Far from using the Iran issue to retaliate against US and European sanctions, as Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov ill-advisedly warned it might in mid-March, Russia has helped bolster the US position on the most sensitive aspect of the Iran negotiations: demands for cutbacks in the centrifuge programme. The most interesting...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Divining ‘bilats’ in Geneva

    12 June 2014.  By happenstance, I was in Geneva this week concurrent with the direct Iran–US talks that were taking place. The closest I got to the action was on Tuesday evening when I walked by the US mission apartment on Quai Wilson, where what I presumed to be members of the US delegation and their hangers-on were holding a soirée. Somebody who resembled Deputy Secretary of State Bill Burns was in a...

  • Strategic Comments

    North Korean lessons for an Iranian nuclear accord

    21 May 2014. 

    The history of diplomacy with North Korea has demonstrated the utility of freezing the momentum of a nuclear programme, even if only temporarily, and suggests that an imperfect deal with Iran could be preferable to one that insists on the dismantlement of most of its nuclear infrastructure but to which Tehran would never consent.

  • Events

    The Iran and Syria Alliance – Holding Strong?

    19 May 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Jubin Goodarzi,
    Deputy Head, International Relations Department, Webster University
    Julien Barnes-Dacey,
    Senior Policy Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, European Council on Foreign Relations
    Arundel House, London
    Monday 19 May 2014

  • Events

    Saudi Arabia in the New Middle East Cold War

    02 May 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Professor F. Gregory Gause, 
    Professor of Political Science, University of Vermont;
    Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings Doha Center
    Arundel House, London
    Friday 02 May 2014

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Is it time yet for optimism on the Iran nuclear talks?

    24 April 2014.  As the six-month interim Iran nuclear deal hit the halfway mark this week, the tone of most public commentary turned positive about the chances for striking a comprehensive deal. Last week, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed that Iran had kept its promises under the 24 November Joint Plan of Action. Indeed, Iran has finished diluting half of its stockpile of 20% enriched uranium hexafluoride to 5%, and conversion...

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