• Strategic Comments

    The Ban Treaty arrives

    26 July 2017. 

    The text of the recently negotiated Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons released on 7 July, approved by a vote of 122-1, is likely to be approved by the UN General Assembly and ratified. While none of the nuclear-weapons states or their allies favours the treaty, it marks the rejection of their customary consensus-based approach. Accordingly, the status quo will continue, but now faces a more invigorated and unified opposition.

  • IISS Voices

    On Iran, US and Europe may go their separate ways

    18 July 2017.  Washington is becoming increasingly confrontational when it comes to Iran and the future of the nuclear deal, while European policymakers have been at pains to emphasise its importance. As Paulina Izewicz explains, Europe appears increasingly ready to chart its own course.

  • Survival

    The Black Bonaparte

    17 July 2017.  Philippe Girard’s exhaustively researched book, Toussaint Louverture: A Revolutionary Life, is a reminder that even the greatest among us reflect the constraints of our own times.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Can Franco-German cooperation deliver a new European defence?

    14 July 2017.  While Europe could certainly do with more capabilities and cooperation, a more fundamental change of strategic mindset in Paris and Berlin is required if Europe is to build a more autonomous defence capability. Fabrice Pothier looks beyond recent statements and announcements to examine what their true policy positions are.

  • Military Balance Blog

    New Franco-German combat-aircraft programme: a reminder of UK’s uncertain position

    14 July 2017.  A new agreement between France and Germany to develop a new combat-aircraft programme will undoubtedly draw the two nations closer in terms of overall defence cooperation. But, as Douglas Barrie observes, the decision has also underlined how the UK’s Brexit vote risks undermining its credibility as a potential partner in future European defence programmes.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Berlin looks to build Future Combat Aircraft System consortium

    19 June 2017.  Germany is looking at the potential of building a next-generation combat aircraft with at least France, Spain and Sweden as possible partners. There are indications that preliminary talks with these nations have already taken place. 

  • Shangri-La Voices

    Does President Trump Tweet for the United States?

    06 June 2017.  By Dana Allin, Senior Fellow for American Foreign Policy and Transatlantic Affairs The current American president is like a black hole, extending an irresistible gravitational field that shapes and pulls almost the totality of our thoughts, attention and discourse. Part of this is the nature of the office, a kind of elected executive monarchy that combines immense power and immense symbolic representation to attract, even in normal times, inordinate attention, such...

  • Shangri-La Voices

    IISS Shangri-La Dialogue: Day 2 Highlights

    04 June 2017.  Day 2 of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue began with a hotly anticipated address by US Secretary of Defense James Mattis.

  • Strategic Comments

    Macron and the world

    26 May 2017. 

    Newly elected French President Emmanuel Macron, while inexperienced in international affairs, is inclined to return France to a de Gaulle/Mitterand tradition of national assertiveness. At the same time, his native prudence, as well as the geostrategic realities of the early twenty-first century, suggest more continuity than change.

  • Expert Commentary

    Emmanuel Macron will find that winning is the easy bit

    27 April 2017.  The front-runner in France's presidential race will find forming a government without a party machine a difficult task.

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