• Politics and Strategy

    Alexander Nicoll: Scotland’s election charge

    21 April 2015.  The star of the British general election campaign so far is Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and the head of the Scottish government. She herself is not seeking a seat at Westminster. Her party is contesting just 59 out of 650 constituencies – that is, only those in Scotland. But the polls suggest it will win almost all of them, compared with just six seats it...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Bastian Giegerich: European defence - strategy, strength and weakness

    20 April 2015.  By Bastian Giegerich, Director of Defence and Military Analysis Around Europe, governments and experts alike are trying to make sense of the dramatic changes in Europe’s security environment to its east and south. For some governments, reflections on this changing environment form a key element of national security and defence strategy reviews. For example, Germany plans to publish a new white paper on security and the future of the German armed...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Erik Jones: The Politics of Conviction and Conviction as Policy

    20 April 2015.  The spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank offer a great opportunity to listen to policymakers explain their views on the evolution of the world economy. For those of us interested in Europe, the focus at this year’s meetings was on the double feature of German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble and Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis at the Brookings Institution last Thursday. It was a good match-up that offered...

  • Expert Commentary

    The House: Why Trident renewal will be on the negotiating table

    09 April 2015.  By Matthew Harries, Managing Editor of Survival and Research Fellow Since 2007, when the House of Commons voted 409-161 in favour of replacing the UK’s four Vanguard-class nuclear-armed submarines (SSBNs) – at least one of which is constantly on patrol armed with Trident II ballistic missiles, providing ‘continuous at-sea deterrence’ (CASD) – two things have changed. Financial pressures have increased dramatically, and the policy preferences of minor parties have become much more relevant. This has...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Iran nuclear framework is a win for all sides

    03 April 2015.  The framework for an Iran nuclear deal that negotiators reached on 2 April is a win for all involved, not just for the eight parties involved, but for the region and the world as a whole. If the details can be fleshed out by the 30 June deadline and opponents in Washington and Tehran do not derail diplomacy, the resulting agreement will prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons for at...

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic Snapshots: Britain’s confusing election

    30 March 2015.  Alexander Nicoll, IISS Senior Fellow for Geo-economics and Defence, explains how Britain’s next government hinges on the outcome of a ‘confused’ set of circumstances leading up to the May 7 general election. If, as opinion polls suggest, no single party wins an overall majority, negotiations led either by the Conservatives or Labour would almost certainly prove more complicated than in May 2010, and could even force fresh polls...

  • Expert Commentary

    RIAC: The future of the British nuclear deterrent - more of the same?

    26 March 2015.  By Matthew Cottee, Research Analyst, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme In 2016 the British government will have to decide on the future of its nuclear deterrent. Before then however, there is a national election (to be held on May, 7, 2015) to determine the composition of those decision-makers tasked with the job. While it appears likely that the deterrent will undergo modernisation, the issue is gaining more political attention and experiencing heightened...

  • Survival

    The Stress Test of German Leadership

    25 March 2015. 

    The euro crisis has underscored an uncomfortable reality: German primacy. 

  • Survival

    Consequences of a New Cold War

    25 March 2015. 

    To end Russian intervention in its neighbourhood, the West might have to recognise its special role there, and forswear further enlargement of NATO and the EU.

  • Survival

    Britain’s Confusing Election

    25 March 2015. 

    A lack of distinctive major-party visions means that, in Britain’s May general election, a great deal hinges on the outcome of a confused set of circumstances.

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