• Expert Commentary

    RIAC: The future of the British nuclear deterrent - more of the same?

    26 March 2015.  By Matthew Cottee, Research Analyst, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme In 2016 the British government will have to decide on the future of its nuclear deterrent. Before then however, there is a national election (to be held on May, 7, 2015) to determine the composition of those decision-makers tasked with the job. While it appears likely that the deterrent will undergo modernisation, the issue is gaining more political attention and experiencing heightened...

  • Survival

    The Stress Test of German Leadership

    25 March 2015. 

    The euro crisis has underscored an uncomfortable reality: German primacy. 

  • Survival

    Britain’s Confusing Election

    25 March 2015. 

    A lack of distinctive major-party visions means that, in Britain’s May general election, a great deal hinges on the outcome of a confused set of circumstances.

  • Survival

    Consequences of a New Cold War

    25 March 2015. 

    To end Russian intervention in its neighbourhood, the West might have to recognise its special role there, and forswear further enlargement of NATO and the EU.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Erik Jones: The Dollar, the Euro, and the Currencies in Between

    20 March 2015.  Two of the most important macroeconomic stories today are dollar strength and euro weakness. The dollar strength story is important because it threatens to sap momentum from the US economic recovery and to give pause to monetary-policy makers on the federal open-markets committee of the US Federal Reserve as they consider when to start raising interest rates. The euro weakness story is important for the opposite reason, because it promises...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Erik Jones: Brexit and Grexit, Process and Event

    11 March 2015.  Two of the great risks facing the European Union (EU) economy are the exit of Greece from the euro area and the exit – or distancing – of the United Kingdom from the EU. It is easy to think of these threats as similar, even if only because they have similarly catchy names to use in popular debate. But King's College London Professor Anand Menon reminded me in a recent conference call...

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter 2: Ideas and power in contemporary trade development

    06 March 2015.  This chapter analyses the economic and geopolitical consequences of the rise of China as the new global ‘mega-trader’.

  • Expert Commentary

    New York Times: Why sanctions on Russia will backfire

    06 March 2015.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Bernard Sucher The American government tends to see sanctions against Russia as a low-cost policy that will eventually force Vladimir Putin to change course in Ukraine. But this conventional wisdom obscures significant costs. Just as using drones to target suspected terrorists in Pakistan may have created more converts to Islamic militancy than it has eliminated, sanctions advocates haven’t reckoned with the unintended...

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter 3: Is trade multilateralism being threatened by regionalism?

    05 March 2015.  Lamy emphasise the importance of strengthening the WTO, but understands the developed economies’ impatience with the developing ones.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter 4: Trade, development and developmental regionalism

    04 March 2015.  Panitchpakdi emphasise the importance of strengthening the WTO, but highlights disappointment with the lack of progress on the Doha Round’s ‘development’ objectives.

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