• Military Balance Blog

    A new dog in the fight

    29 November 2016.  China's recent unveiling to potential export customers of its PL-10 imaging-infrared guided air-to-air missile was a testament to the country's growing weapons-design capabilities. As Douglas Barrie explains, just a handful of nations have so far mastered this technology and this model is likely emerge as the standard imaging-infrared missile in the PLAAF inventory.

  • Expert Commentary

    How Trump is good for China

    15 November 2016.  In this opinion piece for the New York Times, IISS Council Member Eric Li argues that despite Donald Trump's anti-China rhetoric on the campaign trail, his presidency could lead to healthier Chinese-American relations in the long term.

  • Expert Commentary

    Does Trump victory spell end of US as Pacific power?

    13 November 2016.  In this analysis for BBC News, Alexander Neill takes a look at the 'relative unknown' that is Donald Trump's approach to the Asia-Pacific region and the China–US relationship.

  • Strategic Comments

    China’s assertiveness in the South China Sea

    10 November 2016. 

    China's defiance of the arbitration tribunal ruling overwhelmingly rejecting its extensive territorial claims in the South China Sea has exposed competition between the United States and China, attracting regional states into their respective strategic orbits. China's attempt to challenge America's traditional position as the regional maritime power is gaining strength.

  • Strategic Comments

    North Korea: US and allied military options

    02 November 2016. 

    North Korean nuclear bomb and ballistic missile tests may require the United States and its regional allies to take a harder look at military options against North Korea. Pre-emptive or preventive attack is fraught with downsides. But uncertainties surrounding deterrence and worries about potential North Korean brinkmanship could keep that option salient.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Philippines: Duterte’s wilful start

    19 October 2016. 

    A hundred days into his single six-year term, President Rodrigo Duterte has already asserted his powerful political position by undertaking a brutal campaign on drugs, weakening the Philippines' longstanding alliance with the United States and warming to China. These pronounced shifts in policy, however, have drawn considerable criticism from influential figures and groups inside as well as outside the Philippines. Duterte may find it difficult to maintain such controversial policies throughout his presidency.

  • Expert Commentary

    South China Morning Post: Security at stake

    07 October 2016.  Raising concerns about the South China Sea does not make Singapore, or other Asian nations, anti-China. Tim Huxley and Alexander Neill say the issue is on their agenda because leaders have a huge and legitimate stake in regional security, and China’s militarisation of regional waters is not helping.

  • Expert Commentary

    Straits Times: Sitting on the fence is a good option for Asian countries

    07 October 2016.  William Choong argues that there's no need for Asian countries to choose between America and China for now, as China lacks the wherewithal to challenge US supremacy.

  • Strategic Comments

    North Korea’s fifth nuclear test

    05 October 2016. 

    North Korea conducted its fifth and most powerful nuclear test on 9 September, and is moving towards mounting a nuclear bomb on ballistic missiles of increasing range. The Obama administration's policy of strategic patience may now be insufficient. Pyongyang is unlikely to restrain its nuclear bomb and ballistic missile development in the absence of greater US and Chinese assertiveness and more creative strategies.

  • IISS Voices

    Adam Ward: China’s year of living assertively

    29 September 2016.  Strategic Survey 2016 highlights China's increasingly confident behaviour on the international stage, arguing that its deployment of military force in the South China Sea is raising the prospect of a direct confrontation with the United States. Here, Adam Ward analyses the domestic and international triggers of this new assertiveness.

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