04 May 2016.
Dr Andrew Scobell, Senior Political Scientist, RAND
Arundel House, London
Wednesday 4 May 2016, 12.30–1.30pm BST
Politics and Strategy
15 April 2016.
In a talk at the Harvard Belfer Center on 6 April, I argued that it is time to get serious about North Korea, by giving concerted, high-level attention to both sanctions and diplomacy. Pyongyang’s failed test launch of the medium-range mobile ballistic missile dubbed the Musudan underscores the danger and the need.
Over the past three years, world leaders focused intently on the Iranian nuclear challenge, and through a careful combination...
05 April 2016.
Nigel Inkster, Director of Future Conflict and Cyber Security, IISS
Eneken Tikk-Ringas, Consulting Senior Fellow for Future Conflict and Cyber Security, IISS
Mika Kerttunen, Director of Research, Cyber Policy Institute
IISS–Americas, Washington DC
Tuesday 5 April, 10-11am EDT
24 March 2016.
By Sanjaya Baru, Consulting Senior Fellow for India, Director of IISS-India
March 2013. Barely three years ago, South Africa’s President Jacob Zuma sported a big smile, standing in the middle, flanked by Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, China’s President Xi Jinping, Brazil’s President Dilma Roussef and India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh.
They had just concluded their fifth summit meeting in Durban, completing, as they called it, “the first cycle of summits”. They announced...
23 March 2016.
Interview with Giri Rajendran, Research Associate for Defence and Economics
Giri Rajendran, an economist with the International Institute for Strategic Studies, discusses the recently released Military Balance 2016 and global defense spending trends worldwide, in Europe, Russia, the Middle East and China.
Watch the full interview at Defense News
22 March 2016.
The commodities supercycle has ended, and commodity prices have dropped steeply. This has strained the economies of net commodity exporters, most of which are emerging-market and developing countries. Substantial reductions in export revenues have prompted budget cuts and other drastic remedial action that have in many cases reduced government assistance to general populations and produced shortages of basic goods and services. As a result, popular discontent and instability have broadly increased political risk.
16 March 2016.
By Tim Huxley, Executive Director IISS–Asia
Like its predecessors, Australia’s new Defence White Paper pays considerable attention to Southeast Asia. Its ‘Strategic Outlook’ chapter reiterates the long-held and axiomatic conventional wisdom that the geography of the archipelago to Australia’s north ‘will always have particular significance’, because any conventional military threat—and indeed some low-intensity challenges such as people- and drug-smuggling—are ‘likely to approach through the archipelago’.
The DWP also notes Australia’s ‘deep economic...
10 March 2016.
Attempts to normalise Russia–Japan relations have come in fits and starts over the past 20 years, but both Putin and Abe have signalled their intent to achieve real progress in 2016, explains John Drennan.
09 March 2016.
Conversation with Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director IISS–US
Identify key forces and players impacting Northeast Asia’s nuclear arena.
Northeast Asia has seen the emergence of three nuclear-armed states. The USSR first tested an A-bomb in 1949, China in 1964 and North Korea in 2006. Each case was a surprise, and each posed a serious threat to Japan, in particular. Under political science theory, Tokyo thus had a repeated motivation to seek a nuclear...
08 March 2016.
Having generated most of its electricity from coal-fired plants, China is aggressively seeking to reduce air pollution and carbon dioxide emissions and move towards energy self-sufficiency. It may in fact be on a trajectory to become a major player in a global nuclear-power market traditionally dominated by the West.