Al-Qaeda’s evolution since 9/11

Al-Qaeda appears to be gaining momentum after a period of relative quiescence, notably in Syria. Hamza bin Laden, Osama bin Laden's son, is a charismatic and increasingly prominent al-Qaeda leader, and is focused on Syria.

The North Korea crisis

The Trump administration should consider diplomatic engagement with Pyongyang before its nuclear-armed intercontinental ballistic missile capability becomes a fait accompli.

The Barcelona terrorist attacks

The sophistication of the Spanish terror cell, and Islamic State's determination to support out-of-area attacks, point to significant challenges for law enforcement and intelligence agencies.

The unwinding of South Africa’s foreign policy

South African President Jacob Zuma's corrupt personalisation of foreign policy is marginalising South Africa in continental and international affairs.

The Trump administration and the Russia probes

Special Counsel Robert Mueller heads the most aggressive of five investigations of possible collusion between US President Donald Trump's presidential campaign and Russia.

Iran under Rouhani: increasing constraint

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani faces a confrontational United States, an aggressive Saudi Arabia, and Iranian hardliners who have been emboldened to constrain his reformist agenda.

High noon for Libya’s Potemkin government

Strongman Khalifa Haftar is challenging Libya's Government of National Accord for effective control of the country and has substantial outside support from Egypt and the UAE.

The Ban Treaty arrives

The recently negotiated nuclear 'Ban Treaty' is likely to be approved by the UN General Assembly and then ratified. While none of the nuclear-weapons states or their allies favours the treaty, it marks the rejection of their customary consensus-based approach by a more invigorated and unified opposition.