A Nuclear Ban Treaty: prospects and issues

The United Nations General Assembly is expected soon to authorise the negotiation of a treaty that would make nuclear weapons illegal. Despite little media attention, prospects for an actual agreement look better this time. Countries possessing nuclear weapons have resisted the idea and would continue to do so. But with nuclear arms control on other fronts stalled, the negotiation of a Ban Treaty may be the only game in town for some time.

Libya’s faltering new government

The new UN-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) has based itself in Tripoli. But the GNA is rivalled for national authority by the Tobruk-based House of Representatives (HOR).

Cyber conflict and deterrence

Major powers have so far exercised mutual restraint in the cyber realm for fear of precipitating uncontrollable consequences, but is this strategic ambiguity sustainable?

India and Pakistan’s evolving Gulf relationships

India’s focus has shifted towards security and defence cooperation, while Pakistan will continue to try to balance its relations with Gulf Arab states and those with Iran.

The international politics of climate change after Brexit

Among EU states, the United Kingdom has led efforts to achieve cuts in greenhouse-gas emissions for three decades, but Brexit may weaken such initiatives.

Turbulence in the Taiwan Strait

The election of Tsai Ing-wen as president of Taiwan by an increasingly pro-independence electorate has made Beijing more likely to attempt to impose reunification.

Nigeria’s security under Buhari

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari has made progress in containing the jihadist group Boko Haram in the northeast, but in other parts of the country he faces burgeoning security challenges.

Venezuela’s post-Chavez torment

Venezuela's dire economic situation – involving hyperinflation, capital flight and severe shortages of food and medicine – has produced violent protests, looting and the political opposition's calls for intransigent President Nicolas Maduro's recall. Procedures for a recall vote are under way. While replacing Maduro would not instantly solve Venezuela's complex problems, little progress appears possible without it.