Adelphi Books

The International Institute for Strategic Studies is an independent centre for research, information and debate on the problems of conflict, however caused, that have, or potentially have, an important military content. The Council and Staff of the Institute are international and its membership is drawn from almost 100 countries. The Institute is independent and it alone decides what activities to conduct. It owes no allegiance to any government, any group of governments or any political or other organisation. The IISS stresses rigorous research with a forward-looking policy orientation and places particular emphasis on bringing new perspectives to the strategic debate. The Institute’s publications are designed to meet the needs of a wider audience than its own membership and are available on subscription, by mail order and in good bookshops. Further details at www.iiss.org. acknowledgements The author is indebted to Fred McGoldrick, David Santoro, Joshua Pollack, Alan Romberg, James Acton, Takaaki Daitoku, William Choong, Dr Paul Irwin Crookes and Nobuyasu Abe for their helpful suggestions in reviewing portions of this book. They and many others also gave freely of their time in often lengthy interviews. Interviewees included Haruyuki Aikawa, Dr Nobumasa Akiyama, David Albright, Ambassador Cho Chang-beom, Ambassador Chun Yungwoo, Toby Dalton, Robert Einhorn, Ambassador Tetsuya Endo, Dr Shu Yuan Hsieh, Dr Yoichi Funabashi, Dr Katsuhisa Furukawa, Dr Michael Green, Dr Hahm Chaibong, Takuya Hattori, Corey Hinderstein, Dr Hong Kyudok, Dr Richard Juichou Hu, Dr Jo Dong-joon, Dr Jun Bong-geun, Dr Kim Changsu, Dr Kim Jiyoon, Dr Kim Taewoo, Dr Lee Sang Hyun, Dr Liu Fu-kuo, Yosuke Naoi, Masakatsu Ota, Dr Douglas Paal, Dr James Przystup, Dr Ely Ratner, Ambassador Yukio Satoh, Dr James Schoff, Leonard (Sandy) Spector, Dr Tatsujiro Suzuki, Sugio Takahashi, Dr Wang Yu-lung, Dr Tsuneo Watanabe, Chris Wood, Dr Andrew Yang, David Yao, Dr Yim Man-sung, Youn Jong Kwon and anonymous officials in four capitals. Alireza Shams Lahijani provided research assistance. The Japan Institute for International Affairs, the Japanese National Institute for Defense Studies and the Center for Security Studies at National Chengchi University held round-table discussions on my behalf that brought insights and clarity to the issues, as did a conference hosted by the Nuclear Nonproliferation Education and Research Center at the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute. Taiwan’s Institute of Nuclear Energy Research provided a detailed briefing, as did several other institutes and government bodies in Taiwan during a tour by UK-based academics organised by the Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs that the author had the good fortune to lead. Finally, the author appreciates the unconditional support he received from his wife, Kyoko, while working on the manuscript. This book is dedicated to their sons, Thomas and Robert, whose births in Seoul and Tokyo respectively underscore the author’s personal attachment to the region. glossary A2AD anti-access/area-denial AIT American Institute in Taiwan AEC Atomic Energy Council (Taiwan) AVLIS atomic vapour laser isotope separation (an enrichment method) CIA Central Intelligence Agency CEP circular error probable CSIST Chung-Shan Institute of Science and Technology (Taiwan) CTBT Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty...

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