The Seventh IISS Global Strategic Review
‘The New Geopolitics’
11-13 September 2009, Geneva, Switzerland
Agenda
All events will take place at
The InterContinental Hotel,
7-9 Chemin Du Petit-Saconnex, Geneva 1209
The Plenary Sessions (presentations and discussion) will be on the record
Break Out Groups are off the record
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FRIDAY 11 SEPTEMBER 2009
Afternoon Delegates arrive in Geneva; Registration
18:30-19:30 OPENING RECEPTION
19:30-22:00 KEYNOTE ADDRESS AND OPENING DINNER
Welcoming Remarks
Professor François Heisbourg
Chairman, IISS
Keynote Address
Dr Zbigniew Brzezinski
Former US National Security Advisor; Counselor and Trustee, The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
Chair: Dr John Chipman
Director‐General and Chief Executive, IISS
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SATURDAY 12 SEPTEMBER 2009
08:30-08:45 OPENING REMARKS
Dr John Chipman
Director-General and Chief Executive, IISS
08:45-10:00 FIRST PLENARY SESSION
THE UNITED STATES AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION IN THE MIDDLE EAST
Chair: Dr John Chipman
Director‐General and Chief Executive, IISS
Dr Riad Malki
Foreign Minister, Palestinian National Authority
Dan Meridor
Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Intelligence and Atomic Energy, Israel
David Ignatius
Columnist and Associate Editor, The Washington Post
10:00-11:15 SECOND PLENARY SESSION
CHALLENGES IN AFGHANISTAN AND PAKISTAN
Chair: Dr John Chipman
Director‐General and Chief Executive, IISS
Mohammad Masoom Stanekzai
Advisor to the President for Home Security and Reconciliation, Vice Chairman of the Disarmament and Reintegration Commission, Afghanistan
Najmuddin Shaikh
Former Foreign Secretary, Pakistan
Sir Sherard Cowper-Coles
UK Foreign Secretary's Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan
11:15-11:45 Coffee Break
11:45-13:00 THIRD PLENARY SESSION
NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT AND NON PROLIFERATION
Chair: Professor François Heisbourg
Chairman, IISS
Professor Alexei Arbatov
Scholar-in-Residence, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Moscow
Mark Fitzpatrick
Senior Fellow for Non-proliferation, IISS
13:00-14:45 Lunch
15:00-16:30 SIMULTANEOUS BREAK OUT GROUPS (FIRST SITTING)
Group 1: CLIMATE CHANGE AND ARCTIC SECURITY
Chair: Nigel Inkster
Director of Transnational Threats and Political Risk, IISS
Niklas Granholm
Senior Analyst and Project Manager, Swedish Defence Research Agency
Dr Ronald Filadelfo
Director, Environment & Energy Research Team, Centre for Naval Analyses, US
Group 2: THE CIVILIAN/MILITARY INTERFACE IN POST-CONFLICT RESOLUTION
Chair: Nader Mousavizadeh
Consulting Senior Fellow, IISS
Professor Mats Berdal
Professor of Security and Development, War Studies Department, King’s College, London; Consulting Senior Fellow, IISS
Dr Stuart Gordon
Senior Lecturer, Royal Military Academy, Sandhurst, UK
Group 3: MARITIME SECURITY AND PIRACY
Chair: Dr Tim Huxley
Executive Director, IISS-Asia; Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security; Editor, Adelphi Series; Corresponding Director for Military Information
and Analysis
Commodore Hans Chrristian Helseth
Deputy Chief of Staff, NATO Maritime Component Command Northwood , UK; Commodore, Norwegian Navy
Cdr Snowy Lintern
EU Naval Force - Somalia, Liaison Officer to the EU; Commander, Royal Navy, UK
Dr Martin Murphy
Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic & Budgetary Assessments, US
Group 4: COUNTER-TERRORISM: NEW APPROACHES
Chair: Robert Whalley
Consulting Senior Fellow, IISS
Sir David Veness
Former UN Undersecretary General for Safety and Security; Former Assistant Commissioner for Special Operations, London Metropolitan Police
Charles Allen
Former US Undersecretary of Homeland Security for Intelligence and Analysis
Group 5: RUSSIA AND EUROPEAN SECURITY
Chair: Oksana Antonenko
Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, IISS
Marc Perrin de Brichambaut
Secretary General, OSCE
Adam Rotfeld
Former Foreign Minister of Poland
Dr Constanze Stelzenmüller
Senior Transatlantic Fellow, The German Marshall Fund of the United States, Germany
Group 6: AFGHANISTAN AND PAKISTAN – INSTITUTIONALISING DIALOGUE MECHANISMS
Chair: Colonel Christopher Langton
Senior Fellow for Conflict and Defence Diplomacy, IISS
Dr Azmat Khan
Head, Area Studies Centre, University of Peshawar, Pakistan
Shahmahmood Miakhel
Country Director, United States Institute of Peace, Afghanistan
Sir Hilary Synnott
Consulting Senior Fellow, IISS
Group 7: THE REGIONAL SECURITY ARCHITECTURE IN THE PERSIAN GULF
Chair: Dr Andrew Parasiliti
Executive Director IISS-US, Corresponding Director IISS-Middle East
Kenneth M. Pollack
Director and Senior Fellow, Saban Center for Middle East Policy, The Brookings Institution, USA
Ghanim Al-Najjar
Non-resident Scholar, Carnegie Middle East Center, Kuwait
Dr Mamoun Fandy
Senior Fellow for Gulf Security, IISS
16:30-17:00 Coffee Break
17:00-18:30 SIMULTANEOUS BREAK OUT GROUPS (SECOND SITTING)
Group 8: WATER SECURITY AND GEOPOLITICS
Chair: Colonel Christopher Langton
Senior Fellow for Conflict and Defence Diplomacy, IISS
Pierre Morel
EU Special Representative to Central Asia
Fred Pearce
Author, When the Rivers Run Dry, What Happens? UK
Marq de Villiers
Author, Water: The Fate of Our Most Precious Resource, Canada
Group 9: INTELLIGENCE AND SECURITY
Chair: Nigel Inkster
Director of Transnational Threats and Political Risk, IISS
General (Retd) Michael Hayden
Principal, Chertoff Group; Former Director of the US National Security Agency; Former Director, US Central Intelligence Agency
Sir David Omand
Visiting Professor, Department of War Studies, King's College, London; Former UK Security and Intelligence Coordinator
Group 10: MISSILE DEFENCE: ASSESSING THE IRANIAN MISSILE THREAT
Chair: Mark Fitzpatrick
Senior Fellow for Non-proliferation, IISS
Michael Elleman
Visiting Senior Fellow, IISS-US; Senior Associate, Booz Allen Hamilton, Global Non-Proliferation Team
Professor Dr Robert Schmucker
President, Schmucker Technologie, Munich; Professor, Institute of Astronautics, Technical University, Munich
Professor Vladimir Dvorkin
Main Researcher, Russian Academy of Sciences, The Institute for World Economy and International Relations, Moscow
Group 11: AFRICA'S SECURITY CHALLENGES
Chair: Fleur de Villiers
Chairman of the IISS Trustees
Moeletsi Mbeki
Deputy Chairperson, South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA); Member of the Council, IISS
Sarah Raine
Research Associate, IISS-Asia
Jonathan Stevenson
Professor of Strategic Studies, Strategic Research Department, US Naval War College
Group 12: ASIA-PACIFIC REGIONAL SECURITY ARCHITECTURE
Chair: Dr Tim Huxley
Executive Director, IISS-Asia; Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security; Editor, Adelphi Series; Corresponding Director for Military Information and
Analysis
Dr Nick Bisley
Associate Professor in International Relations, La Trobe University, Australia
Dr Jonathan D Pollack
Professor of Asian and Pacific Studies, US Naval War College
Professor Lanxin Xiang
Professor of International Relations, Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva
Group 13: TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONS IN THE OBAMA ERA
Chair: Dr Dana Allin
Senior Fellow for US Foreign Policy and Transatlantic Affairs; Editor of Survival, IISS
Professor David Calleo
Dean Acheson Professor, The Johns Hopkins University, USA
Gilles Andreani
Adjunct Professor, Paris II University, and Transatlantic Fellow, the German Marshall Fund of the United States
Dr Steven E. Miller
Director, International Security Program; Belfer Center for Science & International Affairs, John F Kennedy School of Government, Harvard
University
Group 14: THE ECONOMIC FACTOR IN THE ISRAELI-PALESTINIAN RELATIONSHIP
Chair: Alexander Nicoll
Director of Editorial; Editor of Strategic Survey; Editor of Strategic Comments, IISS
Dr Karim Nashashibi
Advisor to the Prime Minister, Palestinian National Authority
Nomi Bar-Yaacov
Foreign Policy Adviser on Middle Eastern Affairs
19:30-22:30 DINNER SPEECH AND DISCUSSION PANEL
THE CONSEQUENCES OF IRAN'S ELECTION DRAMA
Chair: Dr John Chipman
Director‐General and Chief Executive, IISS
Nader Mousavizadeh
Consulting Senior Fellow, IISS
Dr Ariel Levite
Non-resident Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington, DC; Member of the Council, IISS
Professor Volker Perthes
Chairman and Director, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, Germany
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SUNDAY 13 SEPTEMBER 2009
08:45-10:00 FOURTH PLENARY SESSION
THE ECONOMIC CRISIS AND INTERNATIONAL ORDER
Chair: Nigel Inkster
Director of Transnational Threats and Political Risk, IISS
Lord Robert Skidelsky
Member, House of Lords, UK
Dr Philip Zelikow
Corcoran Department of History, University of Virginia; Former Counselor, US State Department
10:00-11:15 FIFTH PLENARY SESSION
EVOLVING BALANCE OF POWER IN ASIA
Chair: Dr Tim Huxley
Executive Director, IISS-Asia; Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security; Editor, Adelphi Series; Corresponding Director for Military Information and
Analysis
Shiv Shankar Menon
Former Foreign Secretary, India
Bill Emmott
Former Editor, The Economist, UK
Yukio Okamoto
President, Okamoto Associates, Inc., Japan
11:15-11:45 Coffee Break
11:45-13:00 SIXTH PLENARY SESSION
CRITICAL QUESTIONS: VIEWS FROM THE IISS
Chair: Adam Ward
Director of Studies, IISS
How Should the US Engage Regional Powers?
Dr John Chipman
Director-General and Chief Executive, IISS
Is the Iraq War Over?
Dr Toby Dodge
Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East, IISS
Can Russia be Charmed?
Oksana Antonenko
Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, IISS
13:00-13:15 ENVOI
Professor François Heisbourg
Chairman, IISS
13:15-14:30 CLOSING LUNCHEON