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GSR 2007 Agenda

 

 

Friday 7 September 2007

 

All day                  Delegates arrive in Geneva; registration

 

17:30 18:30     Pre-GSR Reception and Briefing 

                              IISS-US and IISS-Asia: an introduction to our regional offices

                              Adam Ward, Executive Director, IISS-US

                              Tim Huxley, Executive Director, IISS-Asia; Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security

                              Michael Rich, Chairman, IISS-US Board of Directors, will preside

                              

18:30 19:30     OPENING RECEPTION

 

19:30 – 22:00     OPENING DINNER

Welcoming Remarks

Professor François Heisbourg

Chairman of the IISS and of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, Paris)

 

Keynote Address

Jakob Gijsbert ‘Jaap’ de Hoop Scheffer

NATO Secretary-General

The Role of NATO in Meeting Global Challenges

 

Saturday 8 September 2007

 

08:45 – 10:00     First Plenary Session

                              MANAGING GLOBAL SECURITY: THE ECONOMIC DIMENSIONS

Chair:  Professor François Heisbourg

Chairman of the IISS and of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, Paris)

 

ECONOMIC SECURITY

Speaker: His Excellency Pascal Lamy

Director-General, The World Trade Organisation

The Strategic Importance of Global Trade

10:00 – 10:30     Coffee Break

 

10:30 - 11:45     Second Plenary Session

                             ASIA AND MANAGING NEW GLOBAL RISKS

 

             Chair: Dr Patrick M. Cronin

             Director of Studies, IISS

Speakers: Dr James Shinn

Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, Asian and Pacific Security Affairs, Office of the Secretary of Defense, U.S. Department of Defense

Tracking the Black Swans of Asia

 

Speakers: His Excellency Yoon, Young-kwan

Former Korean Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, and Professor, Seoul National University

Asia and Economic and Energy Security

Speakers: Professor Alan Dupont

Michael Hintze Chair of International Security and Director, Centre for International Security Studies, The University of Sydney, Australia

The Risk of Global Calamities

11:45-13:00  Third Plenary Session

                        FROM KEEPING THE PEACE TO PEACEKEEPING

Chair: Mr David Ignatius

Columnist, Washington Post, and Council Member IISS-US

 

Speakers: Vice Admiral Kevin J. Cosgriff, U.S. Navy

Commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command; Commander, U.S. Fifth Fleet; and Commander, Combined Maritime Forces

Managing Regional Flashpoints

 

Speakers: Ambassador Thomas R. Pickering

Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations

Does the United Nations have a Role in Iraq?

 

Speakers: Professor Seyed G Safavi

 

Director, London Academy of Iranian Studies

Regional Security: A View from Tehran

13:00 – 14:45           Lunch

 

15:00 – 18:00           Simultaneous Break-Out Groups

 

Group 1:            MANAGING GLOBAL PROLIFERATION

Chair:  Mark Fitzpatrick

IISS Senior Fellow forNon-Proliferation Programme

 

Speakers: His Excellency Rolf Ekéus

Former Executive Chairman of the United Nations Special Commission (UNSCOM) on Iraq

Saving the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty

 

Speakers: Rose Gottemoeller

Director, Carnegie Moscow Center

Major Powers and Sanctions

Speakers: Dr C. Raja Mohan

Professor, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Graduate School of Nanyang Technological University, Singapore

India, Pakistan and the New Nuclear Order

Speakers: Dr Bruno Tertrais

Senior Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique

Enforcing the Norm: The Delicate Balance of Nuclear Non-Proliferation

Discussant: Sir Michael Quinlan

IISS Consulting Senior Fellow

Group 2:            THE CHANGING FACE OF VIOLENCE AND FORCE

Chair:  Ambassador Theodor H. Winkler

Director, The Geneva Centre for the Democratic Control of Armed Forces (DCAF)

Speakers: Professor Mary Kaldor

Professor of Global Governance; Co-Director, Centre for the Study of Global Governance, London School of Economics

Force and Global Security

 

Speakers: Dr Peter Ackerman

IISS-US Council and Founding Chair, The International Center on Nonviolent Conflict

Civil Resistance in Strategic Perspective

Speakers: Dr Keith Krause

Director, Programme in Strategic and International Security Studies, Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva

The Changing Face of Violence

Speakers: Dr Akiko Fukushima

Senior Research Fellow, Japan Foundation

Human Security: Responding to the Changing Face of Violence

Group 3:      WINNING COMPLEX WAR

Chair: Field Marshal The Rt Hon Lord Inge 

Former British Chief of the Defence Staff

Speakers: Dr Thomas Mahnken

U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategic Planning

Modern Wars

Speakers: Professor Hew Strachan

Chichele Professor of the History of War and Fellow, All Souls College, University of Oxford

Strategy and the Limitation of War

Speakers: Dr Martin van Creveld

Professor, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem

On Counterinsurgency

Speakers: Colonel H.R. McMaster

Senior Research Associate, IISS

Reflections on Winning Complex War

 

Discussant: Dr Toby Dodge

Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East, IISS

Group 4:            TRANSFORMING TODAY'S LESSONS INTO TOMORROW'S STRATEGIES

Chair: Colonel (ret) Christopher Langton

IISS Senior Fellow for Conflict and Defence Diplomacy

 

Speakers: Lieutenant General (retd) David W Barno, U.S. Army 

Director, Near East and South Asia Center for Strategic Studies
Lessons from Counterinsurgency Campaigns

 

Speakers: Lieutenant General Sir John Kiszely KCB MC

Director Defence Academy of the United Kingdom 

Challenges for Modern Warriors

 

Speakers: Dr Robert S. Litwak
Director, Division of International Security Studies, Woodrow Wilson Center

The Political Consequences of Regime Change

 

Speakers: Dr Antulio J. Echevarria II

Director of Research, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College

The Enduring Elements of Military Strategy

 

Discussant: Colonel (retd) Frank G. Hoffman, U.S. Marine Corps

Research Fellow, Center for Emerging Threats and Opportunities, U.S. Marine Corps

Group 5:            TURNING GUNS INTO PLOUGHSHARES

Chair: Sir Hilary Synnott

IISS Consulting Senior Fellow

Speakers:  Corinna Kuhl

Acting Chief of Peacekeeping Best Practices, Office of the United Nations Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations

The Future of Peacekeeping 

Speakers:  Dr Antonia Taiye Okoosi-Simbine

Senior Research Fellow and Head, Governance Studies Division, Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER), University of Ibadan

Political Violence and Peacemaking in West Africa: Turning Guns into Ploughshares

Speakers: Dr Robert Muggah

Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva

The Emperor's Clothes: Critical Reflections on Disarmament, Demobilization and Reintegration

 

Speakers: Nomi Bar-Yaacov

Foreign Policy Adviser on Middle Eastern Affairs

The Challenge of Peace in the Middle East

 

Speakers: Oksana Antonenko

IISS Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia

The Frozen Conflicts of Eurasia

 

Discussant: Rahul Roy-Chaudhury

Research Fellow for South Asia, IISS

Group 6:       MANAGING TRANSNATIONAL TERRORISM

Chair:  Robert Whalley CB

IISS Consulting Senior Fellow and Former Director for Counter Terrorism and Intelligence at the UK Home Office  

 

Speakers: Muhammad Amir Rana

Director, Pakistan Institute for Peace Studies

Frontiers of Extremism: The Radicalization of Borders

 

Speakers: Hekmat Karzai

Director, Centre for Conflict and Peace Studies, Kabul

Afghanistan and the Evolution of Terrorism

Speakers: Professor Mahmoud Amin El-Gamal

Chair of Islamic Economics, Finance and Management, Rice University

Cutting the Flow of Resources

Speakers: Dr Audrey Kurth Cronin

Professor, US National War College adn Senior Research Associate, Changing Character of War Programme, University of Oxford

Understanding How Terrorism Ends

Discussant: Ambassador Wali-ur Rehman
Director, Bangladesh Institute of Law and International Affairs

Group 7:            TRANSNATIONAL CHANGES:

                             ENERGY AND EURASIA

Chair:  Ambassador Thomas R. Pickering

Former US Undersecretary of State and Member, IISS-US Council

Speakers: Dr Yuri E. Fedorov

Research Associate, Chatham House

Russia and Eurasian Energy Security

Speakers: Dr Pan Guang

Director for Shanghai Cooperation Organization Studies, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, China

China and Energy Security in Central Asia

Speakers: Linda Jakobson

Director of China Programme, Finnish Institute of International Affairs FIIA Helsinki/Beijing

Understanding China’s Approach to Energy Security

Speakers: Dr Murat Laumulin

Research Fellow, Kazakhstan Institute for Strategic Studies

Russian Energy Policy in Eurasia

Group 8:      RISK ASSESSMENT:

                     TRENDS, SHOCKS AND STRATEGIC SURPRISES

Chair: Dame Pauline Neville-Jones

Shadow Security Minister and National Security Adviser to the Leader of the Opposition; Member, IISS Council

Speakers: Nigel Inkster CMG

IISS Director of Transnational Threats and Political Risk

Collecting, Analysing and Transmitting Information

 

Speakers: Professor Chester A. Crocker

James R. Schlesinger Professor of Strategic Studies, Georgetown University

Strategic Surprises 

 

Speakers: Dr Pierre Cailleteau

Chief International Economic and Financial Policy Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service Limited

Global Financial Crisis: How Worrying is the Current Turbulence? 

 

Speakers: Professor Hugh White

Professor of Strategic Studies and Head of the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University; Visiting Fellow, Lowy Institute

Intelligence, Policy and the Failure to Forecast Risk

Discussants: Dr Thierry Malleret

Partner, Rainbow Insight, Geneva                    

 

Discussants: The Honorable Dr John Hillen

President, Global Strategies Group (USA) llc

19:00 – 20:00           CORPORATE MEMBERS’ RECEPTION

 

19:30 – 22:30           RECEPTION, DINNER AND ADDRESS

                                   

             Chair:  Professor François Heisbourg

             Chairman of the IISS and of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, Paris)

                                                 

             Speaker: Mohammed Dahlan

              Member of Parliament, Palestinian Legislative Council, Palestinian Authority

             Middle East Peace: What Went Wrong and How to Fix It

 

                                    Sunday 9 September 2007

 

09:00 – 10:30          Fourth Plenary Session

                                   FISSURES IN THE MIDDLE EAST

Chair: Dr John Chipman

Director-General and Chief Executive, IISS

Speakers: Professor Uzi Arad

The Institute for Policy and Strategy, The Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy, Israel

Some Observations on Future Challenges to Middle East Security

Speakers: Dr Farhad Kazemi

Provost and Professor of Middle East Politics, New York University

Iran and Regional Security

Speakers: Dr Mamoun Fandy

IISS Senior Fellow for Gulf Security

State and Community Security

10:30 – 11:00           Coffee Break

 

11:00 –12:45            Fifth Plenary Session

                                    MANAGING GLOBAL RISK                                   

Chair:  Dr Patrick M. Cronin

IISS Director of Studies and Editor, Adelphi Papers

Speakers: Prof. Sir Adam Roberts, KCMG, FBA

Montague Burton Professor of International Relations, Oxford University

Characterising the Twenty-First Century World Order

Speakers: Dr Joseph S. Nye, Jr

University Distinguished Service Professor and Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations, Harvard University

Who Will Provide Leadership in Managing Global Security and Risk? The Role of the United States

 

Speakers: Professor François Heisbourg

Chairman of the IISS and of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, Paris)

Managing Risk in the Post-Hegemonic Age

Speakers: Ambassador Barry Desker

Director, S Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore

12:45-13:00              ENVOI

                                    Dr John Chipman CMG

                                    Director-General and Chief Executive, IISS

 

13:00 – 14:30           CLOSING LUNCHEON

 

THE DATE OF THE 50TH ANNNIVERSARY GLOBAL STRATEGIC REVIEW IN GENEVA IS 12-14 SEPTEMBER 2008