Friday 7 September 2007
All day Delegates arrive in Geneva; registration
17:30 – 18:30 Pre-GSR Reception and Briefing
IISS-US and IISS-Asia: an introduction to our regional offices
Adam Ward, Executive Director, IISS-US
Tim Huxley, Executive Director, IISS-Asia; Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security
Michael Rich, Chairman, IISS-US Board of Directors, will preside
18:30 – 19:30 OPENING RECEPTION
19:30 – 22:00 OPENING DINNER
Welcoming Remarks
Professor François Heisbourg
Chairman of the IISS and of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, Paris)
Keynote Address
Jakob Gijsbert ‘Jaap’ de Hoop Scheffer
NATO Secretary-General
The Role of NATO in Meeting Global Challenges
Saturday 8 September 2007
08:45 – 10:00 First Plenary Session
MANAGING GLOBAL SECURITY: THE ECONOMIC DIMENSIONS
Chair: Professor François Heisbourg
Chairman of the IISS and of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, Paris)
ECONOMIC SECURITY
Speaker: His Excellency Pascal Lamy
Director-General, The World Trade Organisation
The Strategic Importance of Global Trade
10:00 – 10:30 Coffee Break
10:30 - 11:45 Second Plenary Session
ASIA AND MANAGING NEW GLOBAL RISKS
Chair: Dr Patrick M. Cronin
Director of Studies, IISS
Speakers: Dr James Shinn
Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, Asian and Pacific Security Affairs, Office of the Secretary of Defense, U.S. Department of Defense
Tracking the Black Swans of Asia
Speakers: His Excellency Yoon, Young-kwan
Former Korean Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, and Professor, Seoul National University
Asia and Economic and Energy Security
Speakers: Professor Alan Dupont
Michael Hintze Chair of International Security and Director, Centre for International Security Studies, The University of Sydney, Australia
The Risk of Global Calamities
11:45-13:00 Third Plenary Session
FROM KEEPING THE PEACE TO PEACEKEEPING
Chair: Mr David Ignatius
Columnist, Washington Post, and Council Member IISS-US
Speakers: Vice Admiral Kevin J. Cosgriff, U.S. Navy
Commander, U.S. Naval Forces Central Command; Commander, U.S. Fifth Fleet; and Commander, Combined Maritime Forces
Managing Regional Flashpoints
Speakers: Ambassador Thomas R. Pickering
Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations
Does the United Nations have a Role in Iraq?
Speakers: Professor Seyed G Safavi
Director, London Academy of Iranian Studies
Regional Security: A View from Tehran
13:00 – 14:45 Lunch
15:00 – 18:00 Simultaneous Break-Out Groups
Group 1: MANAGING GLOBAL PROLIFERATION
Chair: Mark Fitzpatrick
IISS Senior Fellow for Non-Proliferation Programme
Speakers: His Excellency Rolf Ekéus
Former Executive Chairman of the United Nations Special Commission (UNSCOM) on Iraq
Saving the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
Speakers: Rose Gottemoeller
Director, Carnegie Moscow Center
Major Powers and Sanctions
Speakers: Dr C. Raja Mohan
Professor, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Graduate School of Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
India, Pakistan and the New Nuclear Order
Speakers: Dr Bruno Tertrais
Senior Research Fellow, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique
Enforcing the Norm: The Delicate Balance of Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Discussant: Sir Michael Quinlan
IISS Consulting Senior Fellow
Group 2: THE CHANGING FACE OF VIOLENCE AND FORCE
Chair: Ambassador Theodor H. Winkler
Director, The Geneva Centre for the Democratic Control of Armed Forces (DCAF)
Speakers: Professor Mary Kaldor
Professor of Global Governance; Co-Director, Centre for the Study of Global Governance, London School of Economics
Force and Global Security
Speakers: Dr Peter Ackerman
IISS-US Council and Founding Chair, The International Center on Nonviolent Conflict
Civil Resistance in Strategic Perspective
Speakers: Dr Keith Krause
Director, Programme in Strategic and International Security Studies, Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva
The Changing Face of Violence
Speakers: Dr Akiko Fukushima
Senior Research Fellow, Japan Foundation
Human Security: Responding to the Changing Face of Violence
Group 3: WINNING COMPLEX WAR
Chair: Field Marshal The Rt Hon Lord Inge
Former British Chief of the Defence Staff
Speakers: Dr Thomas Mahnken
U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategic Planning
Modern Wars
Speakers: Professor Hew Strachan
Chichele Professor of the History of War and Fellow, All Souls College, University of Oxford
Strategy and the Limitation of War
Speakers: Dr Martin van Creveld
Professor, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem
On Counterinsurgency
Speakers: Colonel H.R. McMaster
Senior Research Associate, IISS
Reflections on Winning Complex War
Discussant: Dr Toby Dodge
Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East, IISS
Group 4: TRANSFORMING TODAY'S LESSONS INTO TOMORROW'S STRATEGIES
Chair: Colonel (ret) Christopher Langton
IISS Senior Fellow for Conflict and Defence Diplomacy
Speakers: Lieutenant General (retd) David W Barno, U.S. Army
Director, Near East and South Asia Center for Strategic Studies
Lessons from Counterinsurgency Campaigns
Speakers: Lieutenant General Sir John Kiszely KCB MC
Director Defence Academy of the United Kingdom
Challenges for Modern Warriors
Speakers: Dr Robert S. Litwak
Director, Division of International Security Studies, Woodrow Wilson Center
The Political Consequences of Regime Change
Speakers: Dr Antulio J. Echevarria II
Director of Research, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College
The Enduring Elements of Military Strategy
Discussant: Colonel (retd) Frank G. Hoffman, U.S. Marine Corps
Research Fellow, Center for Emerging Threats and Opportunities, U.S. Marine Corps
Group 5: TURNING GUNS INTO PLOUGHSHARESChair: Sir Hilary Synnott
IISS Consulting Senior Fellow
Speakers: Corinna Kuhl
Acting Chief of Peacekeeping Best Practices, Office of the United Nations Under-Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations
The Future of Peacekeeping
Speakers: Dr Antonia Taiye Okoosi-Simbine
Senior Research Fellow and Head, Governance Studies Division, Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER), University of Ibadan
Political Violence and Peacemaking in West Africa: Turning Guns into Ploughshares
Speakers: Dr Robert Muggah
Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva
The Emperor's Clothes: Critical Reflections on Disarmament, Demobilization and Reintegration
Speakers: Nomi Bar-Yaacov
Foreign Policy Adviser on Middle Eastern Affairs
The Challenge of Peace in the Middle East
Speakers: Oksana Antonenko
IISS Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia
The Frozen Conflicts of Eurasia
Discussant: Rahul Roy-Chaudhury
Research Fellow for South Asia, IISS
Group 6: MANAGING TRANSNATIONAL TERRORISM
Chair: Robert Whalley CB
IISS Consulting Senior Fellow and Former Director for Counter Terrorism and Intelligence at the UK Home Office
Speakers: Muhammad Amir Rana
Director, Pakistan Institute for Peace Studies
Frontiers of Extremism: The Radicalization of Borders
Speakers: Hekmat Karzai
Director, Centre for Conflict and Peace Studies, Kabul
Afghanistan and the Evolution of Terrorism
Speakers: Professor Mahmoud Amin El-Gamal
Chair of Islamic Economics, Finance and Management, Rice University
Cutting the Flow of Resources
Speakers: Dr Audrey Kurth Cronin
Professor, US National War College adn Senior Research Associate, Changing Character of War Programme, University of Oxford
Understanding How Terrorism Ends
Discussant: Ambassador Wali-ur Rehman
Director, Bangladesh Institute of Law and International Affairs
Group 7: TRANSNATIONAL CHANGES:
ENERGY AND EURASIA
Chair: Ambassador Thomas R. Pickering
Former US Undersecretary of State and Member, IISS-US Council
Speakers: Dr Yuri E. Fedorov
Research Associate, Chatham House
Russia and Eurasian Energy Security
Speakers: Dr Pan Guang
Director for Shanghai Cooperation Organization Studies, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, China
China and Energy Security in Central Asia
Speakers: Linda Jakobson
Director of China Programme, Finnish Institute of International Affairs FIIA Helsinki/Beijing
Understanding China’s Approach to Energy Security
Speakers: Dr Murat Laumulin
Research Fellow, Kazakhstan Institute for Strategic Studies
Russian Energy Policy in Eurasia
Group 8: RISK ASSESSMENT:
TRENDS, SHOCKS AND STRATEGIC SURPRISES
Chair: Dame Pauline Neville-Jones
Shadow Security Minister and National Security Adviser to the Leader of the Opposition; Member, IISS Council
Speakers: Nigel Inkster CMG
IISS Director of Transnational Threats and Political Risk
Collecting, Analysing and Transmitting Information
Speakers: Professor Chester A. Crocker
James R. Schlesinger Professor of Strategic Studies, Georgetown University
Strategic Surprises
Speakers: Dr Pierre Cailleteau
Chief International Economic and Financial Policy Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service Limited
Global Financial Crisis: How Worrying is the Current Turbulence?
Speakers: Professor Hugh White
Professor of Strategic Studies and Head of the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Australian National University; Visiting Fellow, Lowy Institute
Intelligence, Policy and the Failure to Forecast Risk
Discussants: Dr Thierry Malleret
Partner, Rainbow Insight, Geneva
Discussants: The Honorable Dr John Hillen
President, Global Strategies Group (USA) llc
19:00 – 20:00 CORPORATE MEMBERS’ RECEPTION
19:30 – 22:30 RECEPTION, DINNER AND ADDRESS
Chair:
Professor François Heisbourg Chairman of the IISS and of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, Paris)
Speaker: Mohammed Dahlan
Member of Parliament, Palestinian Legislative Council, Palestinian Authority
Middle East Peace: What Went Wrong and How to Fix It
Sunday 9 September 2007
09:00 – 10:30 Fourth Plenary Session
FISSURES IN THE MIDDLE EAST
Chair: Dr John Chipman
Director-General and Chief Executive, IISS
Speakers: Professor Uzi Arad
The Institute for Policy and Strategy, The Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy, Israel
Some Observations on Future Challenges to Middle East Security
Speakers: Dr Farhad Kazemi
Provost and Professor of Middle East Politics, New York University
Iran and Regional Security
Speakers: Dr Mamoun Fandy
IISS Senior Fellow for Gulf Security
State and Community Security
10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break
11:00 –12:45 Fifth Plenary Session
MANAGING GLOBAL RISK
Chair: Dr Patrick M. Cronin
IISS Director of Studies and Editor, Adelphi Papers
Speakers: Prof. Sir Adam Roberts, KCMG, FBA
Montague Burton Professor of International Relations, Oxford University
Characterising the Twenty-First Century World Order
Speakers: Dr Joseph S. Nye, Jr
University Distinguished Service Professor and Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations, Harvard University
Who Will Provide Leadership in Managing Global Security and Risk? The Role of the United States
Speakers: Professor François Heisbourg
Chairman of the IISS and of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (Special Advisor, Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, Paris)
Managing Risk in the Post-Hegemonic Age
Speakers: Ambassador Barry Desker
Director, S Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
12:45-13:00 ENVOI
Dr John Chipman CMG
Director-General and Chief Executive, IISS
13:00 – 14:30 CLOSING LUNCHEON
THE DATE OF THE 50TH ANNNIVERSARY GLOBAL STRATEGIC REVIEW IN GENEVA IS 12-14 SEPTEMBER 2008